THIS JUST IN - 2nd CME on its way to EARTH

[msred]

This Just In, VIA my iTouch....

Aug 3

Incoming CMEs --- A Double Strike?

At least two coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are now en route to Earth, propelled toward us by eruptions in the magnetic canopy of sunspot 161 on Aug 2nd and 3rd. Analysts at the GSFC Space Weather Lab have produced a new 3-D model of the advancing CMEs.

According to their work, Earth will receive a double-strike from the clouds on Aug 4th at 22:39 UT plus or minus 7 hours. Mild to moderate geomagnetic storms are possible when the CMEs arrive.

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The above follows the CME mentioned/reported in another blog... 

Aug 2 (iTouch 3D Sun transmission)

The Aug 2nd M1-class eruption from sunspot 121 was observed by three spacecraft SOHO, STEREO-A and STEREO-B. Using data from those three points of view, analysts at the GSFC Space Weather Lab have mad a 3-dimensional model of the CME now en route to Earth. According to their work, the CME left the sun traveling 900 km/s and should reach Earth on Aug 5th at 0300 UT plus or minus 7 hours.

 

 

Predicted Aurora Activity:

Updated at: 2011 Aug 02 2200 UTC

Mid-latitudes

	0-24 hr	24-48 hr
ACTIVE	05 %	40 %
MINOR	01 %	15 %
SEVERE	01 %	05 %

High latitudes

	0-24 hr	24-48 hr
ACTIVE	05 %	40 %
MINOR	01 %	15 %
SEVERE	01 %	05 %

 

 

[At the creation of this information], the kP Index [was] at 1, that’s low. Keep an eye on this page, if the number goes over 4-5 then there should be visible activity for some of us.

 

This is the current Statistical Auroral Oval, it updates as new info is added

 

 

How do you suppose the second CME is making it to Earth on the 4th before the first one, which is suppose to be here on the 5th? Or do you think it's just a typo on their part?

 

[Cheryl Nelson]

Remember the intergalactic cloud...how will a CME interact with the elements in the cloud?  Do we know yet?

[Kim B]

spf-3000?  And when is the X class supposed to hit?

[Alex Cortes]

M class flare will more than likely have little effect as opposed to the x-class flare....be extra careful with electronics and skin protection for that matter .....

[Kim B]

I wonder if this will affect any powergrids.  CME's on both days the 4th and 5th?